May 16-18, 2001
Knowledge, Resources and Public
Policy
for the New Regional
Economy
This program lists conference activities and, when available, provides links to materials provided by the presenters.
Wednesday, May 16
9:20-9:30 am Welcome
9:30-10:10 am Keynote Address:
"The Global Economic Scene"
Kenneth S. Courtis
Vice-Chair, Goldman Sachs (Asia)
Registered conference delegates can get the
password by
e-mailing pnrec@gems6.gov.bc.ca
10:30-11:45 am Plenary Panel: Canadian and U.S. Economic Outlook
John Lipsky, J.P. Morgan Chase
Don Drummond, TD Bank Financial Group
12:00-1:30 pm Lunch – Hosted by the British Columbia Hydro and Power Authority
Speaker: Philip Resnick, University of British Columbia, and author of The Politics of Resentment: British Columbia Regionalism and Canadian Unity
"Myths and Realities About
Western Alienation"
Labour Markets 1
Gary Kamimura, Washington State Employment Security
Department
"A Labour Market and Economic Comparison of Rural
and Urban Washington"
Jane Field, Washington State Employment Security
Department
"WorkFirst Longitudinal Study"
Riley Moore, Washington State University
"Labour Trends in the Washington State Landscape
and Maintenance Industry"
The New Economy
William Beyers, University of Washington
"Services and the New Economy: Elements of a
Research Agenda"
Erling Johnson and Lorrie Jo Brown, Washington State
Department of Revenue
"Do Tax Incentives Work? Impact of High-Tech
R&D Tax Incentives on the Washington Economy"
Katherine Richardson, University of British Columbia
"NAFTA and High-Tech Industry Labour in the Cascadia
Region"
REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT I
John Schofield and Gurmit Sandhu, University
of Victoria
"Modelling Provincial and Sub-regional
Economies: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach"
Hungarian Academy of Sciences
"Agriculture and Environment as Hungary
Approaches EU Membership"
Ben Frerichs, Economic Consulting Services,
Seattle
"Integration of Economic and Land Use
Planning"
Peter Mills, Perrin Thorau & Associates, and
Randy Armour, Dye Management Group Inc.
"Maximising the Use of Constrained Cash Resources
in U.S. State Highway Development."
Benefits and Costs of Mining on Public Lands
Panel:
Thomas Power, University of Montana
John Brower, Montana Tech
Frederich Wolf, University of Puget Sound
Mark Reiman, Pacific Lutheran University
Lorne Grasley, Mining Association of British Columbia
Labour Markets 2
Alexander Rubenstein, Washington State Employment
Security Department
"Limits of Growth and Turning Points in Employment
Projections"
Scott Bailey, Washington State Employment Security
Department
"Hourly Wage Trends in Washington State: Medians,
Distributions, and Wage Ladders in the 1990s"
Transportation
Steve Smith, Washington State Department of Revenue
"Cruising Rail and Road: Economic Activity in
Puget Sound Transit Corridors"
Darren Prokop, University of Alaska - Anchorage
"Air Cargo Development at Anchorage International
Airport"
Ken Casavant, Washington State University, Jerry
Lenzi, Washington State Department of Transportation, and Denver Tolliver,
North Dakota State University
"Investment and Economic Impacts of Heavy Cars
on Regional Railroads"
Melissa Miller, Whatcom Council of Governments
"International Mobility and Trade Corridor Project"
Collective Bargaining AND THE 21ST CENTURY WORKPLACE
CHAIR: Don McRae, BC Stats
Liz Gilliland, Deputy Minister of Women's Equality,
British Columbia
"Workplace Excellence: How to Get and Keep Staff
in the New Millennium"
Panel B4: Chelsea/Derby Rooms
Welfare Reform
The panel looks at recent welfare reforms by state and provincial governments in the Pacific Northwest, and assesses the impacts on workers and the economy.
Chair/Organizer: Bill Warburton, British Columbia Ministry of Social Development and Economic Security
Panel:
Annette Case, Economic Opportunity Institute
Marieka Klawitter, University of Washington
Greg Weeks, Washington State Employment Security
Department
Jeff Smith, University of Western Ontario
Alec McBeath, British Columbia Ministry of Social
Development and Economic Security
8:00-9:00 am Concurrent session C1: Pacific Suite
Matthew Roelofs and Todd Sorensen, Western Washington
University
"Public Ownership and Competition in the Cable
Television Market"
Charles L. Sauvie, Former member of PNREC Board
"The Economics of Energy Issues"
Trade and Markets
Klaus Wallner, Oregon State University
"Trading Up or Trading Down? The Effect of Foreign
Environmental, Labour and Food Safety Standards on Domestic Standards"
Sally Easley Hays, California State University at
Fresno
"Eco-Labelling and Market Coordination"
CHAIR: Art Harnisch, Art Harnisch & Associates
Douglas Orr, Eastern Washington University
"The Social Security Reform Debate: Effects of
Institutional Changes in Financial Markets"
Tomas Mosquera, Washington State University
"Evaluating Dollarization"
Grant D. Forsyth, Eastern Washington University
"Who is Lending to Whom? An Evaluation of Business
Lending by For-Profit and Non-Profit Financial Institutions in Washington
State in the 1990s"
9:00-10:15 am Plenary panel: Ballroom
The Pacific Northwest Economic Outlook
CHAIR: Gary Smith, Washington State University
Alberta -
Bob Fox, Fox Consulting
Montana - Paul Polzin, University of Montana
Oregon - Tom Potiowsky, Oregon Office of
Economic Analysis
Idaho - Derek Santos, Idaho Division of Financial
Management
Washington - Bret Bertolin - Washington State
Office of the Forecast Council
British Columbia - Chris Lawless, Ministry
of Finance and Corporate Relations
Resource Management
John Newcomb, University of Victoria
"Energy Geography of the Pacific Northwest -
Changing Landscapes of Power"
Zena Cook and Scott Urban, Idaho Department of Water
Resources, Molly Maupin, U.S. Geological Survey, Roni Pratt, COMPASS, and
John Church, Idaho Economics
"Domestic, Commercial and Industrial Water Use
Assessment and Forecast in the Treasure Valley, Idaho"
REGIONAL DEVElOPMENT II
Virginia Junk and Sandra Cann, University of Idaho
"Non-Metropolitan Resort Communities: Where Older
Residents Choose to Stop"
Chair/Organizer: Paul Sommers, University of Washington
Panel:
Annabel K. Cook, Washington State University
Doug Taylor, Vancouver Island Advanced Technology
Centre
Christian Kaylor, Oregon Department of Labour
Panel D4: Victorian Room
New Data for the New Economy
Chair/Organizer: Gary Smith, Washington
State University
Panel:
Hugh Knox, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Deprtment
of Commerce
Philip Smith, Statistics Canada
Chair: Carol Frketich, co-chair of PNREC 2001 Program Committee
Speaker: Peter Kuhn, University of California at Santa Barbara
"The Labour Market and the Internet"
CHAIR: Robert Bennett, British Columbia Assets and Land Corporation
Gary Smith, Washington State University
"A New Edition and Additions to NIIP: The WSU
Northwest Income Indicators Project"
Brian P. Holly and Daniel Burghart, Oregon Department
Of Economic and Community Development
"Industrial Composition and Economic Diversity
Among Western States in the U.S."
Steven Peterson and Mike DiNoto, University of Idaho
"An Economy Trapped by the Past: The Declining
Economic Base of North-central Idaho"
Thomas M. Power, University of Montana
"Economic Structure, Economic Density, and Pay:
Explaining Low Pay and Income in the Non-Metro West"
CHAIR: Lorrie Jo Brown, Washington State Department of Revenue
Leslie Lahndt, Washington State Department of Transportation
"A Model for Increased Accountability and Performance
Measurement in the Roadway Preservation Program for the State of Washington
Department of Transportation"
Rebecca Warburton, University of Victoria
"British Columbia's Medical Services Plan Premium
Assistance Program: Does it help those who need it?"
Scott Benson, Gregory Green, Cynthia Hill and Michael
Wheatley, Idaho State University
"The Economic Impact of a Growing Institution
of Higher Education on the Regional and State Economy: A Case Study of
Idaho State University"
Ying Kong, University College of the Cariboo
"Welfare Loss with Persistent Dumping in an Oligopoly"
Panel E3: Chelsea/Derby Rooms
Combatting Urban Sprawl in the Pacific Northwest
Chair/Organizer: Chris Lawless, British Columbia Ministry of Finance and Corporate Relations and conference chair.
Panel:
David Baxter, Urban Futures Institute, Vancouver
Anthony Rufolo, Portland State University
Ben Frerichs, Economic Consulting Services, Seattle
Geoffrey Young, Discovery Economic Consulting, Victoria
Gene Miller, New Landmarks, Victoria
1:45-3:15 pm Panel E4: Executive
Club
Organizer: David Gray, British Columbia Ministry of Employment and Investment
Panel:
Darren Prokop, University of Alaska - Anchorage
(chair)
Tae Oum, University of British Columbia
Michael Tretheway, InterVistas Consulting
Greg Saretsky, Alaska Airlines
3:30-5:15 pm Plenary panel: Ballroom
Chair: Peter Ostergaard, B.C. Utilities Commission
Panel:
Bev Van Ruyven, B.C. Hydro
Kelly Cairns, Cominco
Bob Foulkes, Westcoast Energy
Jim Robb, McKinsey & Company
Friday May 18
8:00-9:00 am Panel F1: Chelsea/Derby Rooms
Electricity Markets
Panel:
Terry Morlan, Northwest Power Planning Council
Thomas Power, University of Montana
Sam Van Vactor, Economic Insights
Anthony M. Rufolo, and Jihong Zhang, Portland State
University
"Convenience and the Benefits From Roadway Capacity"
Debra Fogarty and Thea Mounts, Washington State Office
of Financial Management
"Intrastate Migration Among Washington's Low-Income
Population"
Panel F3: Executive Club
Performance Management and Accountability Reporting
for Governments: Is it working?
Organizer: Su-lin Shum, B.C. Govt Consulting Group
Chair: Peter Gregory - Assistant Auditor General, BC
Panel:
Jim Cutt, University of Victoria
Les McAdams, Director, BC Government Consulting
Group,
Bill Reid, Senior Manager, Consulting, Grant Thornton
LLP
Crime and Punishment
Dae Baek, Suzanne Porter, and Tom Potiowsky, Oregon
Office of Economic Analysis
"Do Higher Incarceration Rates Lead to Lower
Crime Rates? Evidence for Six Western States"
Scott Merryman, University of Oregon
"An Econometric Analysis of Public and Private
Prisons"
Shafin Ali, Spokane Falls Community College
"The 'Informal' Underground Economy: A Third
World Perspective"
A Tribute to David Merrifield
Chair/Organizer: Steven Globerman, Western Washington University
Paul Sommers, University of Washington
"Economic Impacts of Harvest Reductions in the
Spotted Owl Region"
Richard Schwindt, Simon Fraser University
"Making the Best of a Bad Situation: Canada's
Policy Options in the Softwood Lumber Dispute"
John Perez-Garcia, University of Washington
"The Positive Effects of the Accelerated Tariff
Liberalization Policy on the Pacific Northwest Forest Sector"
Agriculture
Michael J. Scott, Lance W. Vail and John A. Jaksch,
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, and Claudio O. Stockle, Washington
State University
"Regional Climate Forecasts and Water Markets
in Irrigated Agriculture"
Marcy Ostrom, Washington State University
"Civic Agriculture: Evolving Mutually Supportive
Economic Relationships Among Communities and Agriculture Producers"
Richard W. Carkner and Riley Moore, Washington State
University
"Economic Dimensions of Washington's Green Industry"
Concurrent session G3: Executive Club
Health
CHAIR: Rebecca Warburton, University of Victoria
Don Holley, Boise State University
"Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System"
Sylvie Daigneault, Privy Council Office, Government
of Canada
"Health Care Systems: An International Comparison"
Lynne Bownds, Eastern Washington University
"Voting on the Washington State Health Services
Act"
David Bunting, Eastern Washington University
"Structural Estimates of County Health Insurance
Coverage"
Panel:
Hugh Knox, U.S. Department of Commerce
Philip Smith, Statistics Canada
Bret Bertolin, Washington State Office
of the Forecast Council
Tom Potiowsky, Oregon Office of Economic
Analysis
10:30-11:30 am The Charles Tiebout Lecture - Ballroom
The conference's founder is honoured in this annual lecture on regional economic growth and development.
Speaker: Peter H. Pearse, Professor
Emeritus,
University of British Columbia
"Natural Resources in Canada-U.S. Relations"
Conference Partners
PNREC 2001 is fortunate to have the support of the following organizations:
| British Columbia Hydro | Westcoast Energy |
| Telus | J.P. Morgan Chase |
| TD Bank Financial Group | Goldman Sachs |
| Cominco | The Government of British Columbia |
| McKinsey & Company | U.S. Department of Commerce |
| Alaska Airlines | Statistics Canada |
| B.C. Utilities Commission |
PNREC 2001 Conference Committee
Chris Lawless Conference Chair
Carol Frketich Program Committee Co-chair
Peter Mills Program Committee Co-chair
Nick Bailey Gus Mattersdorff Student Paper Awards Committee Chair
Organizing Committee Members:
Kara Flanagan
David Gray
Justin Longo
Shalegh Ringma
Bill Warburton
Rebecca Warburton
Jean Yan
…and assistance from numerous others!