May 16-18, 2001

35th Annual PNREC: Final Program

Knowledge, Resources and Public Policy
for the New Regional Economy

This program lists conference activities and, when available, provides links to materials provided by the presenters.

Wednesday, May 16

9:20-9:30 am Welcome

9:30-10:10 am Keynote Address:

                                                            "The Global Economic Scene"
                                                            Kenneth  S. Courtis
                                                            Vice-Chair, Goldman Sachs (Asia)
                                                            Registered conference delegates can get the password by
                                                            e-mailing pnrec@gems6.gov.bc.ca

10:30-11:45 am Plenary Panel:  Canadian and U.S. Economic Outlook

                                                            John Lipsky, J.P. Morgan Chase
                                                            Don Drummond, TD Bank Financial Group

12:00-1:30 pm Lunch – Hosted by the British Columbia Hydro and Power Authority

 
Chair: Peter Mills, Perrin Thorau & Associates and co-chair of PNREC 2001 Program Committee

Speaker: Philip Resnick, University of British Columbia, and author of The Politics of Resentment: British Columbia Regionalism and Canadian Unity

"Myths and Realities About
Western Alienation"
 

1:45-3:15 pm Concurrent session A1: Pacific Suite

Labour Markets 1

CHAIR: Stephen Pal, British Columbia Ministry of Advanced Education, Training and Technology William Dillingham, Washington State Employment Security Department
"Contingent Workforce in Washington"

Gary Kamimura, Washington State Employment Security Department
"A Labour Market and Economic Comparison of Rural and Urban Washington"

Jane Field, Washington State Employment Security Department
"WorkFirst Longitudinal Study"

Riley Moore, Washington State University
"Labour Trends in the Washington State Landscape and Maintenance Industry"
 
 

Concurrent session A2: Chelsea/Derby Rooms

The New Economy

CHAIR: Ian Rongve, British Columbia Ministry of Finance and Corporate Relations

William Beyers, University of Washington
"Services and the New Economy: Elements of a Research Agenda"

Erling Johnson and Lorrie Jo Brown, Washington State Department of Revenue
"Do Tax Incentives Work? Impact of High-Tech R&D Tax Incentives on the Washington Economy"

Katherine Richardson, University of British Columbia
"NAFTA and High-Tech Industry Labour in the Cascadia Region"
 

1:45-3:15 pm Concurrent session A3: Executive Club

REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT I

CHAIR: Llew Hamdi, British Columbia Ministry of Finance and Corporate Relations

John Schofield and Gurmit Sandhu, University of Victoria
"Modelling Provincial and Sub-regional Economies: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach"

Hungarian Academy of Sciences
"Agriculture and Environment as Hungary Approaches EU Membership"

Ben Frerichs, Economic Consulting Services, Seattle
"Integration of Economic and Land Use Planning"

Peter Mills, Perrin Thorau & Associates, and Randy Armour, Dye Management Group Inc.
"Maximising the Use of Constrained Cash Resources in U.S. State Highway Development."
 

1:45-3:15 pm Panel A4: Victorian Room

Benefits and Costs of Mining on Public Lands

Chair/Organizer: Bruce Finnie, Pacific Lutheran University

Panel:

Thomas Power, University of Montana
John Brower, Montana Tech
Frederich Wolf, University of Puget Sound
Mark Reiman, Pacific Lutheran University
Lorne Grasley, Mining Association of British Columbia
 

3:30-5:15 pm Concurrent session B1: Pacific Suite

Labour Markets 2

CHAIR: Stephen Pal, British Columbia Ministry of Advanced Education, Training and Technology

Alexander Rubenstein, Washington State Employment Security Department
"Limits of Growth and Turning Points in Employment Projections"

Scott Bailey, Washington State Employment Security Department
"Hourly Wage Trends in Washington State: Medians, Distributions, and Wage Ladders in the 1990s"
 

3:30-5:15 pm Concurrent session B2: Executive Club

Transportation

CHAIR: Jean Yan, British Columbia Ministry of Finance and Corporate Relations

Steve Smith, Washington State Department of Revenue
"Cruising Rail and Road: Economic Activity in Puget Sound Transit Corridors"

Darren Prokop, University of Alaska - Anchorage
"Air Cargo Development at Anchorage International Airport"

Ken Casavant, Washington State University, Jerry Lenzi, Washington State Department of Transportation, and Denver Tolliver, North Dakota State University
"Investment and Economic Impacts of Heavy Cars on Regional Railroads"

Melissa Miller, Whatcom Council of Governments
"International Mobility and Trade Corridor Project"
 
 

3:30-5:15 pm Concurrent session B3: Balfour Room

                                                            Collective Bargaining AND THE 21ST CENTURY WORKPLACE
                                                           CHAIR: Don McRae, BC Stats

John Fryer, University of Victoria
"Working Together: A New Framework for Labour Relations in the Canadian Federal Public Service"

Liz Gilliland, Deputy Minister of Women's Equality,
British Columbia
"Workplace Excellence: How to Get and Keep Staff in the New Millennium"

Panel B4: Chelsea/Derby Rooms
Welfare Reform

The panel looks at recent welfare reforms by state and provincial governments in the Pacific Northwest, and assesses the impacts on workers and the economy.

Chair/Organizer: Bill Warburton, British Columbia Ministry of Social Development and Economic Security

Panel:

Annette Case, Economic Opportunity Institute
Marieka Klawitter, University of Washington
Greg Weeks, Washington State Employment Security Department
Jeff Smith, University of Western Ontario
Alec McBeath, British Columbia Ministry of Social Development and Economic Security
 
 

Thursday, May 17
 
 

8:00-9:00 am Concurrent session C1: Pacific Suite

Competition
CHAIR: Sinclair Tedder, British Columbia Ministry of Forests

Matthew Roelofs and Todd Sorensen, Western Washington University
"Public Ownership and Competition in the Cable Television Market"

Charles L. Sauvie, Former member of PNREC Board
"The Economics of Energy Issues"
 
 

Concurrent session C2: Executive Club

Trade and Markets

CHAIR: Mike Scott, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Klaus Wallner, Oregon State University
"Trading Up or Trading Down? The Effect of Foreign Environmental, Labour and Food Safety Standards on Domestic Standards"

Sally Easley Hays, California State University at Fresno
"Eco-Labelling and Market Coordination"
 

8:00-9:00 am Concurrent session C3: Victorian Room Financial Market Issues

CHAIR: Art Harnisch, Art Harnisch & Associates

Douglas Orr, Eastern Washington University
"The Social Security Reform Debate: Effects of Institutional Changes in Financial Markets"

Tomas Mosquera, Washington State University
"Evaluating Dollarization"

Grant D. Forsyth, Eastern Washington University
"Who is Lending to Whom? An Evaluation of Business Lending by For-Profit and Non-Profit Financial Institutions in Washington State in the 1990s"
 
 

9:00-10:15 am Plenary panel: Ballroom

The Pacific Northwest Economic Outlook

CHAIR: Gary Smith, Washington State University

Alberta - Bob Fox, Fox Consulting
Montana - Paul Polzin, University of Montana
Oregon - Tom Potiowsky, Oregon Office of Economic Analysis
Idaho - Derek Santos, Idaho Division of Financial Management
Washington - Bret Bertolin - Washington State Office of the Forecast Council
British Columbia - Chris Lawless, Ministry of Finance and Corporate Relations
 

10:30-11:45 am Concurrent session D1: Pacific Suite

Resource Management

CHAIR: Jean Yan, British Columbia Ministry of Employment and Investment

John Newcomb, University of Victoria
"Energy Geography of the Pacific Northwest - Changing Landscapes of Power"

Zena Cook and Scott Urban, Idaho Department of Water Resources, Molly Maupin, U.S. Geological Survey, Roni Pratt, COMPASS, and John Church, Idaho Economics
"Domestic, Commercial and Industrial Water Use Assessment and Forecast in the Treasure Valley, Idaho"
 
 

Concurrent session D2: Executive Club

REGIONAL DEVElOPMENT II

CHAIR: Ian Rongve, British Columbia Ministry of Finance and Corporate Relations                                                             William Beyers, University of Washington
                                                            "Culture, Services and Regional Development in the Rural West" James Nelson and Sarah Schumaker, University of Idaho
"Utilization of Income Multipliers to Evaluate Development Pressures on Farmland in Canyon County, Idaho"

Virginia Junk and Sandra Cann, University of Idaho
"Non-Metropolitan Resort Communities: Where Older Residents Choose to Stop"

 

10:30-11:45 am Panel D3: Chelsea/Derby Rooms The Northwest High-Tech Outlook

Chair/Organizer: Paul Sommers, University of Washington

Panel:

Annabel K. Cook, Washington State University
Doug Taylor, Vancouver Island Advanced Technology Centre
Christian Kaylor, Oregon Department of Labour
 
 

Panel D4: Victorian Room

New Data for the New Economy
Chair/Organizer: Gary Smith, Washington State University

Panel:

Hugh Knox, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Deprtment of Commerce
Philip Smith, Statistics Canada
 

12:00-1:30 pm Lunch – Ballroom Hosted in part by Telus

Chair: Carol Frketich, co-chair of PNREC 2001 Program Committee

Speaker: Peter Kuhn, University of California at Santa Barbara

"The Labour Market and the Internet"
 
 

1:45-3:15 pm Concurrent session E1: Pacific Suite Economic Diversity

CHAIR: Robert Bennett, British Columbia Assets and Land Corporation

Gary Smith, Washington State University
"A New Edition and Additions to NIIP: The WSU Northwest Income Indicators Project"

Brian P. Holly and Daniel Burghart, Oregon Department
Of Economic and Community Development
"Industrial Composition and Economic Diversity Among Western States in the U.S."

Steven Peterson and Mike DiNoto, University of Idaho
"An Economy Trapped by the Past: The Declining Economic Base of North-central Idaho"

Thomas M. Power, University of Montana
"Economic Structure, Economic Density, and Pay: Explaining Low Pay and Income in the Non-Metro West"

 

1:45-3:15 pm Concurrent session E2: Victorian Room Economic Impact and Policy Analysis

CHAIR: Lorrie Jo Brown, Washington State Department of Revenue

Leslie Lahndt, Washington State Department of Transportation
"A Model for Increased Accountability and Performance Measurement in the Roadway Preservation Program for the State of Washington Department of Transportation"

Rebecca Warburton, University of Victoria
"British Columbia's Medical Services Plan Premium Assistance Program: Does it help those who need it?"

Scott Benson, Gregory Green, Cynthia Hill and Michael Wheatley, Idaho State University
"The Economic Impact of a Growing Institution of Higher Education on the Regional and State Economy: A Case Study of Idaho State University"

Ying Kong, University College of the Cariboo
"Welfare Loss with Persistent Dumping in an Oligopoly"
 
 

Panel E3: Chelsea/Derby Rooms

Combatting Urban Sprawl in the Pacific Northwest

Chair/Organizer: Chris Lawless, British Columbia Ministry of Finance and Corporate Relations and conference chair.

Panel:

David Baxter, Urban Futures Institute, Vancouver
Anthony Rufolo, Portland State University
Ben Frerichs, Economic Consulting Services, Seattle
Geoffrey Young, Discovery Economic Consulting, Victoria
Gene Miller, New Landmarks, Victoria


1:45-3:15 pm Panel E4: Executive Club

Airline Industry Performance: Can the benefits of competition in big-city markets trickle down to regions and smaller communities? Do they?

Organizer: David Gray, British Columbia Ministry of Employment and Investment

Panel:

Darren Prokop, University of Alaska - Anchorage (chair)
Tae Oum, University of British Columbia
Michael Tretheway, InterVistas Consulting
Greg Saretsky, Alaska Airlines


3:30-5:15 pm Plenary panel: Ballroom

Energy & the Regional Economy

Chair: Peter Ostergaard, B.C. Utilities Commission

Panel:

Bev Van Ruyven, B.C. Hydro
Kelly Cairns, Cominco
Bob Foulkes, Westcoast Energy
Jim Robb, McKinsey & Company


Friday May 18

8:00-9:00 am Panel F1: Chelsea/Derby Rooms

Electricity Markets

Chair/Organizer: Tom Spinks, Washington State Utilities and Transportation Commission

Panel:

Terry Morlan, Northwest Power Planning Council
Thomas Power, University of Montana
Sam Van Vactor, Economic Insights
 

Concurrent session F2: Pacific Suite Topics in Microeconomics
CHAIR: Don Van Wart, British Columbia Ministry of Economic Security and Social Development

Anthony M. Rufolo, and Jihong Zhang, Portland State University
"Convenience and the Benefits From Roadway Capacity"

Debra Fogarty and Thea Mounts, Washington State Office of Financial Management
"Intrastate Migration Among Washington's Low-Income Population"

 

Panel F3: Executive Club

Performance Management and Accountability Reporting for Governments: Is it working?
Organizer: Su-lin Shum, B.C. Govt Consulting Group

Chair:  Peter Gregory  - Assistant Auditor General, BC

Panel:
Jim Cutt, University of Victoria
Les McAdams, Director, BC Government Consulting Group,
Bill Reid, Senior Manager, Consulting, Grant Thornton LLP
 

8:00-9:00 am Concurrent session F4: Victorian Room

Crime and Punishment

CHAIR: Lois McNabb, British Columbia Ministry of Forests

Dae Baek, Suzanne Porter, and Tom Potiowsky, Oregon Office of Economic Analysis
"Do Higher Incarceration Rates Lead to Lower Crime Rates? Evidence for Six Western States"

Scott Merryman, University of Oregon
"An Econometric Analysis of Public and Private Prisons"

Shafin Ali, Spokane Falls Community College
"The 'Informal' Underground Economy: A Third World Perspective"
 
 

9:00-10:15 am Concurrent Session G1: Chelsea/Derby Rooms

A Tribute to David Merrifield

PNREC recently lost a good friend and supporter in David Merrifield and Western Washington University lost an outstanding faculty member. Dave's friends and colleagues gathered to discuss the issues that motivated his teaching and research in regional economics.

Chair/Organizer: Steven Globerman, Western Washington University

Paul Sommers, University of Washington
"Economic Impacts of Harvest Reductions in the Spotted Owl Region"

Richard Schwindt, Simon Fraser University
"Making the Best of a Bad Situation: Canada's Policy Options in the Softwood Lumber Dispute"

John Perez-Garcia, University of Washington
"The Positive Effects of the Accelerated Tariff Liberalization Policy on the Pacific Northwest Forest Sector"
 

9:00-10:15 am Concurrent session G2: Pacific Suite

Agriculture

CHAIR: Hugh Bryce, British Columbia Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Fisheries

Michael J. Scott, Lance W. Vail and John A. Jaksch, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, and Claudio O. Stockle, Washington State University
"Regional Climate Forecasts and Water Markets in Irrigated Agriculture"

Marcy Ostrom, Washington State University
"Civic Agriculture: Evolving Mutually Supportive Economic Relationships Among Communities and Agriculture Producers"

Richard W. Carkner and Riley Moore, Washington State University
"Economic Dimensions of Washington's Green Industry"

Concurrent session G3: Executive Club

Health

CHAIR: Rebecca Warburton, University of Victoria

Don Holley, Boise State University
"Behavioural Risk Factor Surveillance System"

Sylvie Daigneault, Privy Council Office, Government of Canada
"Health Care Systems: An International Comparison"

Lynne Bownds, Eastern Washington University
"Voting on the Washington State Health Services Act"

David Bunting, Eastern Washington University
"Structural Estimates of County Health Insurance Coverage"
 

9:00-10:15 am Panel G4: Victorian Room The Effect of Stock Options on Earnings and Income Data
Chair/Organizer: Gary Smith, Washington State University

Panel:

Hugh Knox, U.S. Department of Commerce
Philip Smith, Statistics Canada
Bret Bertolin, Washington State Office of the Forecast Council
Tom Potiowsky, Oregon Office of Economic Analysis
 

10:30-11:30 am The Charles Tiebout Lecture - Ballroom

The conference's founder is honoured in this annual lecture on regional economic growth and development.

Speaker: Peter H. Pearse, Professor Emeritus,
University of British Columbia

"Natural Resources in Canada-U.S. Relations"


 
 

Conference Partners

PNREC 2001 is fortunate to have the support of the following organizations:

British Columbia Hydro Westcoast Energy
Telus J.P. Morgan Chase
TD Bank Financial Group Goldman Sachs
Cominco The Government of British Columbia
McKinsey & Company U.S. Department of Commerce
Alaska Airlines Statistics Canada
B.C. Utilities Commission  

 

PNREC 2001 Conference Committee

Chris Lawless Conference Chair

Carol Frketich Program Committee Co-chair

Peter Mills Program Committee Co-chair

Nick Bailey Gus Mattersdorff Student Paper Awards Committee Chair

Organizing Committee Members:

Kara Flanagan

David Gray

Justin Longo

Shalegh Ringma

Bill Warburton

Rebecca Warburton

Jean Yan

…and assistance from numerous others!